Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.000092 0.000097 0.000102 0.000108 0.000114 0.000120 0.000128
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.000086 0.000093 0.000100 0.000109 0.000119 0.000130 0.000144
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.000080 0.000088 0.000097 0.000108 0.000121 0.000136 0.000155
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.000077 0.000086 0.000097 0.000110 0.000126 0.000146 0.000173
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.000073 0.000083 0.000094 0.000109 0.000127 0.000151 0.000184
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.000069 0.000079 0.000091 0.000107 0.000128 0.000155 0.000194
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.000067 0.000078 0.000090 0.000107 0.000130 0.000161 0.000208
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.000066 0.000077 0.000090 0.000109 0.000135 0.000170 0.000227
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.000063 0.000074 0.000088 0.000107 0.000134 0.000172 0.000234
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.000060 0.000071 0.000084 0.000103 0.000130 0.000170 0.000236
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.000058 0.000068 0.000082 0.000101 0.000128 0.000169 0.000239
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.000055 0.000065 0.000078 0.000097 0.000124 0.000164 0.000235
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000054 0.000064 0.000078 0.000098 0.000128 0.000174 0.000258
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000053 0.000064 0.000078 0.000100 0.000132 0.000184 0.000283
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000062 0.000077 0.000098 0.000132 0.000186 0.000296
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000051 0.000062 0.000077 0.000100 0.000137 0.000198 0.000329
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.000049 0.000061 0.000076 0.000099 0.000137 0.000202 0.000345
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.000048 0.000059 0.000074 0.000098 0.000136 0.000204 0.000360
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000058 0.000074 0.000098 0.000139 0.000212 0.000387
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000047 0.000058 0.000074 0.000100 0.000143 0.000223 0.000430
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000045 0.000057 0.000072 0.000098 0.000141 0.000224 0.000441
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.000044 0.000055 0.000070 0.000095 0.000137 0.000219 0.000437
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.000042 0.000053 0.000068 0.000093 0.000135 0.000217 0.000440